It is my experience with Amazon (UK,US,CA) and a number of other online etailers, that anything ordered in the lead up to Christmas takes roughly twice as long as normal to arrive.
Another thing to consider is that I have found Amazon's customer service second to none and they have replaced lost parcels (this should satisfy those worried about no tracking), broken cases etc without any hassle on a number of occasions. If they are unable to replace, they usually offer full or partial refunds too.
As for duty, I cannot comment since I'm in Australia but you should be able to find out whether duty is charged over a certain amount or on all shipments.
BTW, another indian BD for a decent price is Wake Up Sid (UTV version) listed for 10.93 pounds before VAT removal.
Lastly, this offer works for free shipping on preorders too, provided you place your order before 15 May 2011. I'm really hoping Amazon UK extend the offer and/or Amazon US follow suit in the future.
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